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Starbucks raises 2021 forecast as U.S. same-store sales growth returns to pre-pandemic levels

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Starbucks’ president and CEO Kevin Johnson speaks during a press conference in Shanghai on August 2, 2018.

AFP | Getty Images

Starbucks on Tuesday reported mixed quarterly results and raised its full-year forecast for earnings and revenue.

While the company’s earnings topped Wall Street’s expectations, its revenue missed estimates as China’s same-store sales growth fell short of pre-pandemic levels.

Shares of the company dropped nearly 2% in extended trading.

Here’s what the company reported compared with what Wall Street was expecting, based on a survey of analysts by Refinitiv:

  • Earnings per share: 62 cents adjusted vs. 53 cents expected
  • Revenue: $6.7 billion vs. $6.8 billion expected

Starbucks reported fiscal second-quarter net income of $659.4 million, or 56 cents per share, up from $328.4 million, or 28 cents per share a year earlier.

Excluding items, the coffee chain earned 62 cents per share, topping the 53 cents per share expected by analysts surveyed by Refinitiv.

Net sales rose 11% to $6.7 billion, missing expectations of $6.8 billion. Global same-store sales grew by 15% as the company lapped a decline of 10% from the year-ago period.

U.S. same-store sales rose 9%, returning to pre-pandemic levels. A year ago, same-store sales in Starbucks’ home market fell 3% as lockdowns were implemented across the United States. This quarter, customers bought larger coffee orders, sending the average ticket up 21%. Traffic, however, is still down by 10%.

In China, Starbucks’ second-largest market, same-store sales surged 91% as it faced comparisons to last year’s 50% plummet during the same period. Transactions in China soared 93% in the quarter, but average ticket fell 1%.

For all of fiscal 2021, Starbucks now expects to earn $2.65 to $2.75 per share, up from its prior range of $2.42 to $2.62 per share. It’s expecting earnings on an adjusted basis of $2.90 to $3 per share, up from its previous outlook of $2.70 to $2.90 per share.

The company also raised its full-year outlook for revenue to a range of $28.5 billion to $29.3 billion, up from a prior range of $28 billion to $29 billion. Fiscal 2021 includes a 53rd week, which Starbucks expects will add about $500 million in revenue.

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